BACK NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AND NEW ORLEANS SAINTS TO REACH SUPERBOWL 7-1 Odds quoted are from Paddy Power It's the last play of the last quarter. Three points down, you have possession and are 20 from the endzone. What do you do? A simple field goal and the lottery of overtime? Or do you snap the ball and loft a pass towards glory? The latter, well, it's a bit like going for two away victories in the NFL's conference finals. It's nine years since Denver and Green Bay both went on the road and ended up in the Superbowl but today offers the best chance since.
Firstly to Soldier Field, Chicago where the Bears face the Saints. If the NFL was made up of super powers, the Saints would be Kinnegad but this season, they have caught America's imagination for obvious reasons. They are consistent rather than spectacular and that added to their determination has been enough this time around. Chicago are the better team and with their quarterback Rex Grossman at last "nding consistency for four quarters, they ought to win. Then again, the Saints ought not to be here and sometimes a good story just keeps on reading.
In the other game? Well, Indianapolis can't beat New England in the play-offs. Tom Brady has the Colts' number. Peyton Manning chokes. Enough said? Hail Mary.
Bad form: Sorry for our overexcitement last Sunday, as we priced up Marcus Horan for first Munster try at 20-1. The odds would have been closer to 12-1, which, we're sure you'll agree, is still a cracking bet. Apologies for any inconvenience/ shouting at bookies caused.
BACK LESS THAN 1.5 GOALS IN ARSENAL vMAN UNITED 9-4 Odds quoted are from Betfair It has all the hallmarks of must-see TV. The two most entertaining sides in the league. The only genuinely heated rivalry between two managers. A cast-list of quality that's genuinely mouth-watering. But there's cash to be made in ignoring Sky's hyperbole. Alex Ferguson and Arsene Wenger despise each other, and the thought of losing this fixture galls both men.
With Henrik Larsson oozing quality, it's likely Ferguson will bring Wayne Rooney deep, leaving the Swede to fend for himself up front.
An effective five in midfield will help to negate Cesc Fabregas, who has been in imperious form and will be targeted as Arsenal's main threat. The Gunners have already won at Old Trafford this season, and in theory would have least to lose, but if they go in front, don't expect them to push for a second. Philippe Senderos's return has tightened things up at the back and Arsenal should be able to withstand whatever United throw at them. Three of the last four fixtures between this pair have featured one goal or less, so invest in a tight affair.
Where the money was. . .
NEWCASTLE UNITED TO BEAT TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR LAST SUNDAY 79-1 (Betfair) Given their dismal form of late, few people would have given Newcastle a chance when they went 2-1 down to Tottenham last Sunday at White Hart Lane. Nonetheless they were backed in running to win at 80 (79-1). Cue two goals in three minutes, including an Obafemi Martins (right) wonder strike, to give them a lead they didn't give up. A good start to a pretty bad week.
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