![](http://media.tribune.ie/site_media/photologue/photos/2010/Feb/27/cache/paul_gogarty029469_display.jpg)
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With the departure of George Lee, his situation looks a lot more favourable now than it did a few weeks ago and he can have reasonable expectations of taking the fifth seat in what is arguably the most volatile constituency in the country. Much will depend on the circumstances in which the election is called and the campaign itself.
Prospects: 50:50 or perhaps even a little better.
Cuffe is the most vulnerable of all Green TDs. Dun Laoghaire has gone from five seats to four. Cuffe took the fifth seat last time around and was a long way behind the fourth TD elected. Throw in the presence of two FF cabinet ministers, the leader of a buoyant Labour party, the fact the local elections showed Fine Gael poised to win a second seat here, and the candidature of popular independent Richard Boyd Barrett, and you get some idea of the mountain Cuffe will have to climb.
Prospects: It will take a minor miracle for Cuffe to keep his seat.
The fact that he works extremely hard on the ground will stand to Gogarty next time around but he has a serious fight on his hands. Fine Gael doesn't have a TD here and the local elections showed it is certain to win one seat next time, with a strong possibility of a second TD as well. If Mary Harney doesn't stand, it would obviously make the field less crowded.
Prospects: If the timing of the election is right from a Green point of view, Gogarty could make it, but it will be tight.
Though he has long been seen as the safest of the Green TDs, the word on the ground in Dublin North is that Sargent hasn't been as prominent locally and is extremely vulnerable. One of the three government deputies here will surely have to lose out. Ironically, Sargent's shock resignation as a junior minister may help him locally.
Prospects: It will be tough.
The Poolbeg incinerator controversy won't help and the Greens garnered a miserable 6% of the vote in the constituency in last June's local elections.
Prospects: The timing of the election will be crucial, as will the incinerator issue. At the moment the odds are against him.
White took the fifth seat in this constituency in 2007 at the expense of Fine Gael's John Paul Phelan. Better vote management from FG will secure a seat for Phelan at White's expense.
Prospects: Unlikely to pip Phelan again.
Boyle performed badly in European elections. The local Green organisation is said to be fractious and low in morale.
Prospects: Unlikely to win back the Dáil seat he lost in 2007.
Ó Brolcháin didn't make the breakthrough when he was mayor of Galway in 2007 and is unlikely to do so with the Greens facing into the wind next time around.
Prospects: Bar a complete reversal in the Greens' fortunes, he will not win a seat.
Meaney is an excellent local operator but Clare is not Green territory.
Prospects: A long shot.
Like Meaney, Dearey bucked the national trend by taking a seat in the locals but his chances have been hit by Seamus Kirk's elevation to Ceann Comhairle, reducing the constituency to four seats.
Prospects: Hard to see Dearey succeeding, especially with the Greens struggling in the polls.
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Greenbacks...err...sorry, I mean these Greens will never be back...as long as there is one Irish person alive...so that means never.
Get ready to enjoy your imploding moment, "Greenbacks"...oh there I go again, must be the memory of how much these guys & their sidekicks have cost our little dear country by atrocious mismanagement of the economy & the weather!